We track the latest polls with less than two weeks to go before US voters choose a new president on November 5.
With just 11 days remaining until election day in the United States, polling averages indicate that the two leading presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, are effectively tied in most key swing states.
To win, a candidate needs to secure 270 of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs. Electoral College votes are distributed across states according to their relative populations.
Who is in the lead?
According to FiveThirtyEight’s daily election poll tracker, as of Thursday, Vice President Harris is leading in the national polls and has a 1.8-percentage-point lead over former President Trump.
But, a new poll from the Financial Times (FT) on Thursday showed that Trump has slightly surpassed Harris as the candidate Americans trust most with the economy.
This is the second poll this week that indicates that Harris’s momentum may have stalled. On Wednesday, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that Trump is leading Harris by 2 percentage points nationally, with 47 percent compared to her 45 percent.
What are the polls saying about the swing states?
The seven swing states are Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), North Carolina (16), Georgia (16), Michigan (15), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Nevada (6). Together, they account for 93 Electoral College votes.
But FiveThirtyEight’s average of recent surveys places Harris and Trump within the margin of error of polls in each of these seven states.
